邢国鑫
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加入时间: 2004/02/20
文章: 7501
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作者：邢国鑫 在 罕见奇谈 发贴, 来自 http://www.hjclub.org
Alex entering Gulf, will likely avoid oil-affected areasBy the CNN Wire Staff
June 27, 2010 5:02 p.m. EDT
STORY HIGHLIGHTS
http://www.cnn.com/2010/US/06/27/gulf.oil.disaster/index.html?video=true&hpt=T2
NEW: Alex moving back into Gulf of Mexico, expected to re-strengthen
It is expected to avoid oil-affected areas
Gulf residents worry Alex could push more oil ashore
(CNN) -- Tropical Storm Alex -- temporarily weakened to a tropical depression -- was headed into the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico Sunday, where it was expected to regain strength, although forecasters expect the system to steer clear of oil-affected areas.
"We think the storm is going to stay on a more southern track. That would be good news because it would avoid the area near the oil spill," said Todd Kimberlain of the National Hurricane Center.
However, forecasters have not ruled out an easterly shift in Alex's path.
"We all know the weather is unpredictable, and we could have a sudden last-minute change," said Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen, the federal government's response manager.
The governors of Louisiana, Texas, Mississippi and Alabama declared Sunday a day of prayer in their respective states as efforts to cap the massive gusher continue.
Researchers have estimated that between 35,000 barrels -- about 1.5 million gallons -- and 60,000 barrels -- about 2.5 million gallons -- of oil are gushing into the ocean every day.
If Alex forces a work stoppage at the ruptured BP well, officials fear that as much as 2.5 million gallons of oil could flow into the Gulf for two weeks.
That is because it would take 14 days to put everything back in place -- meaning the containment cap would be off for that period, allowing oil to flow freely, Allen said.
BP plans to place a third rig called the Helix Producer at the well site next week, which will increase the amount of oil being captured to 53,000 barrels a day, Allen said. That, too, could be disrupted if Alex affects the area.
Alex is the first named storm of what is expected to be a fierce Atlantic hurricane season. It formed in the Caribbean on Saturday.
Alex was re-entering the southwestern Gulf of Mexico Sunday after crossing the Yucatan peninsula. Its center was about 55 miles (90 km) south-southwest of Campeche, Mexico, as of 5 p.m. ET.
Tropical storm warnings for the coast of Belize and the east coast of the Yucatan were discontinued earlier Sunday, the hurricane center said. Alex soaked Belize after making landfall in the Central American nation several hours earlier with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph.
Alex's winds had dropped to near 35 mph (55 km/hr) with higher gusts Sunday, the hurricane center said. The system was moving west-northwest at near 9 mph (15 km/hr). It was expected to slow, but remain moving northwestward.
"Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Alex is expected to become a tropical storm again on Monday," the hurricane center said. Alex is expected to become a Category 1 hurricane before making landfall Thursday morning near La Pesca, Mexico.
In the meantime, forecasters said Sunday Alex was expected to dump 4 to 8 inches of rain over the Yucatan peninsula, southern Mexico and Guatemala through Monday afternoon, with 15 inches possible over mountainous areas. "These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides," the hurricane center said.
Oil company BP said the storm has not forced any evacuations at the oil spill site. But, to the south, BP and Shell were evacuating all nonessential personnel from oil platforms as a precaution.
Gulf Coast residents feared that high winds and storm surges could spread the slick and push more oil ashore into bays, estuaries and pristine beaches, exacerbating the oil disaster triggered by BP's ruptured well.
"The greatest nightmare with this storm approaching is that it takes this oil on the surface of the Gulf and blows it over the barrier islands into the bays and the estuaries," Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Florida said. "And that is where you really get the enormous destruction, because it's just very difficult to clean up those pristine bays."
If the storm heads to the east of the oil spill, it would send the oil farther out to sea.
If the storm heads more directly toward the central Gulf and Louisiana, it might push the oil toward Florida.
"We've never been in this situation before," CNN meteorologist Karen Maginnis said. "We've never seen an oil spill that encompassed the Gulf like this, end up so close to shore."
作者：邢国鑫 在 罕见奇谈 发贴, 来自 http://www.hjclub.org |
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芦老&糊涂 : 芦老：俺有个绝招，多一个方案应该能帮BP更有效地收集是不是“垃圾”帖 ?恢复不恢复芦老失手删去的俺在芦区
