邢国鑫
[个人文集]
加入时间: 2004/02/20
文章: 7502
经验值: 207027
|
|
|
作者：邢国鑫 在 罕见奇谈 发贴, 来自 http://www.hjclub.org
祸币太多！ 垃圾太多！
世界经济大危机 - 世界经济大萧条， 正式开始！
战争离我们还远吗？
http://www.hjclub.info/bbs/viewtopic.php?p=2809483
反腐CCP亡党，症腐PRC亡国！
第二波世界金融大危机，已经开始
大炉楼市崩盘，淫吭崩盘近在咫尺
救大中华， 救天美人
这是没有办法的办法，但很可能就是大中华可以承受的最好的和平转型的办法！
邢老虎恳请芦老大：该除首时就除首
恋美炕日抗饿，我急需天美人冰冰速来佛舟！
“It’s Going to Get a Lot Worse”: ECRI’s Achuthan Says New Recession Unavoidable
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/going-lot-worse-ecri-achuthan-says-recession-unavoidable-141929160.html
By Aaron Task | Daily Ticker – 4 hours ago
Follow The Daily Ticker on Facebook here!
Weakness in leading economic indicators has become so pervasive the Economic Cycle Research Institute now predicts a new recession is unavoidable.
"The vicious cycle is starting where lower sales, lower production, lower employment and lower income [leads] back to lower sales," co-founder Lakshman Achuthan declares in the accompanying video.
Whereas Achuthan said the jury is still out in late August, the weakness in leading economic indicators — and ECRI uses a dozen for the U.S. alone, he notes — has become a "contagion" that is spreading like "wildfire."
Although the recovery has been "subpar" by nearly every measure, Achuthan refutes the idea the economy never got out of recession in the first place. "Just because it looks and feels a certain way doesn't mean it's a recession," he says. "You haven't seen anything yet. It's going to get a lot worse."
It's too soon to predict just how bad it's going to get, but he expects another spike in unemployment and further expansion of the federal government's $1 trillion deficit. This forecast has huge ramifications for the 2012 election and the already struggling U.S. consumer and Achuthan says a "mild" recession is the best-case scenario.
By now you may be wondering what separates ECRI's recession call from the myriad other recession calls out there. First, ECRI's primary raison d'etre is predicting recession and recovery calls. Second, and more importantly, The Economist reports ECRI has never issued a "false alarm" on a recession call, meaning many of the Chicken Littles currently declaring "the sky is falling" might actually be right this time around.
Aaron Task is the host of The Daily Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]
作者：邢国鑫 在 罕见奇谈 发贴, 来自 http://www.hjclub.org |
|
|
[新闻] 世界经济大危机 - 世界经济大萧条， 正式开始！
