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主题: 芦笛胡说八道,北越光军事人员就死50多万,芦笛却说35越共大败美军
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作者 芦笛胡说八道,北越光军事人员就死50多万,芦笛却说35越共大败美军   
所跟贴 芦笛胡说八道,北越光军事人员就死50多万,芦笛却说35越共大败美军 -- Anonymous - (26 Byte) 2003-10-01 周三, 上午2:16 (189 reads)
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文章标题: Vietnam War: death toll (83 reads)      时间: 2003-10-01 周三, 上午2:31

作者:Anonymous罕见奇谈 发贴, 来自 http://www.hjclub.org

Second Indochina War (1960-75)

Vietnam War: Most historians of the Second Indochina War concern themselves primarily with the American Phase of the conflict, 1965-73; however, many do not specify whether their estimated death tolls cover only this phase of the war or the whole thing. An asterisk(*) indicates that the number seems to cover the entire conflict rather than just the American Phase, but check the "Sources" section to see exactly which years are covered by each authority:

South Vietnam military: 185,000 to 225,000 (Britannica) or 220,357 (Lewy) or 223,748 (Summers; also 3 April 1995 AP) or 224,000 (Kutler, Olson) or 250,000 (Clodfelter, Grenville*) or 254,257 (Wallechinsky*) or 650,000 (Small & Singer) [MEDIAN: 224,000]

North Vietnamese military and Viet Cong: 500,000 (S&S) or 660,000 (Olson) or 666,000 (Lewy, with the possibility that as many as 222,000 (1/3) of these were actually SVN civilians mistaken for VC) or 666,000 (Summers) or 700,000-1,000,000 (Wallechinsky*) or 900,000 (Britannica; Grenville*) or 1,000,000 (Clodfelter) or 1,100,000 (Tucker*, Official VN* [1954-75]) [MEDIAN: ca. 875,000]

South Vietnamese civilians: 250,000 (Olson) or 287,000 (Clodfelter = 247,600 war deaths + 38,954 assassinated by NLF) or 300,000 (Kutler; Summers) or 340,000 (Lewy's estimate, with the possibility that an additional 222,000 counted as VC (above) belong in this category) or 430,000 (The Sen. E. Kennedy Commission, according to Lewy, Olson) or 522,000 (Wallechinsky*) or 1,000,000 (Britannica [in both North and South]; Eckhardt; Grenville*) or 2,000,000 (Tucker*, Official VN* [N&S, 1954-75],) [MEDIAN: ca. 476,000]

North Vietnamese civilians: 65,000 (Kutler, Lewy, Olson, Summers, Wallechinsky) by American bombing.

USA: 58,000 (Britannica) or 58,153 (Wallechinsky*) or 58,159 (Kutler) or 47,244 KIA + 10,446 other = 57,690 (Olson, Summers, 1961-80) or 56,146 (Lewy: 46,498 KIA + 10,388 other + 719 MIA) or 56,000 (S&S)

South Korea: 4,407 (Lewy, Olson, Summers); 4,687 (Wallechinsky); 5,000 (S&S)

Philippines: 1,000 (S&S)

Thailand: 351 (Lewy, Olson, Summers, Wallechinsky); 1,000 (S&S)

Australia: 469 (Lewy, Summers, Olson [w/NZ]); 492 (S&S); 494 (Wallechinsky); 520 (AWM)

TOTAL: 1,216,000 (military only, S&S) or 1,312,000 (Summers) or 1,353,000 (Lewy) or 1,520,453 (WHPSI: S. Vietnamese only, 1965-75) or 1,637,000 (Olson) or 1,721,000 (Kutler) or 1,749,000 (Wallechinsky*) or 1,800,000 (B&J, 1960-75) or 2,058,000 (Eckhardt) or 2,163,000 (Britannica) or 2,500,000 (Grenville*) or 3,000,000 (1965-75, Chomsky* (1987)) or >3,100,000 (Tucker*; Official VN*)

[MEDIAN of TOTALS: ca. 1,900,000] or [TOTAL of MEDIANS: ca. 1,710,000]

Misc. Atrocities:

Lewy:

36,725 civilians assassinated by VC/NVA, 1957-72

2,800 civilians executed and 3,000 missing after Hue was captured by VC/NVA, 1968

400 civilians massacred by USAns in the area of Son My village, incl. 175-200 in My Lai hamlet, 1968

Because of the lack of weapons recovered from many bodies, Lewy considers the possibility that up to 222,000 VC KIA may have actually been innocent bystanders. (Or maybe not. Poor evidence either way.)

Harff & Gurr: 475,000 civilians in NLF areas were victims of repressive politicide, 1965-72

Young: Hue massacre, 1968:

Officially: 2,800-5,700

Len Ackland: 300-400

Chomsky (1987): 21,000 VC civilian officials assassinated under US/GVN Phoenix project (-in text. Endnote gives estimates ranging 40-48,000.). Lewy considers these to be (mostly) legitimate military targets.

Rummel:

90,000 democides by South Vietnam:

1954-63: 39,000, incl. 24,000 dead in forced resettlement programs

1963-75: 51,000, incl. 30,000 executions

166,000 democides by NVN/VC in SVN:

Officials assassinated: 17,000

Civilians assassinated: 49,000

Refugees killed, 1975: 50,000

Misc: 50,000

In addition to the American Phase of the War, there are four tangental conflicts which are sometimes discussed as part of the Vietnam War, but usually considered peripheral:

Vietnamese Civil War, internal phase, 1960-65

Clodfelter, 1961-64

South Vietnam, military: 21,442

Communist: 71,000

Civilian: 160,000

TOTAL: 252,442

Chomsky (1987):

1957-61: 66,000 VC (p.274, citing B. Fall), 80,000 Vietnamese (p.323)

1961-4/65: 89,000 VC

to mid 1966: 60,000 ("enemy" (McNamara) - "probably" including civilians (Chomsky))

Total, 1954-65: 160-170,000 VNese (p.324)

S&S: 300,000 battle deaths, 1960-65

Eckhardt: 200,000 civ. + 100,000 mil. = 300,000 (1960-65)

Young: NLF lost 100,000 dead 1961-(?)64

WHPSI:

21,686 deaths by political violence in South Vietnam, 1960-64

4,021 from 1955 to 1959

Cambodian Civil War (1970-75)

Chomsky (1987): half a million to a million.

Rummel, 1954-75:

War Dead: 429,000

Democide: 288,000

TOTAL: 717,000

Tucker: 10% of 7M [which comes to 700,000]

Clodfelter; also Wallechinsky (1970-75)

Cambodian govt.: 50,000

Total violent deaths, incl. Comm. and civ.: >250,000

Total war-related deaths, incl. hunger: 600,000

T. Lomperis, From People's War to People's Rule (1996), citing a Finnish commission: 600,000

MEDIAN: ca. 0.5-0.6M

Chirot: 500,000

B&J: 300,000

SIPRI 1989: 156,000

S&S, 1970-73

Cambodia: 150,000

USA: 500

SVietnam: 5,000

NVietnam: 500

TOTAL: 156,000

Eckhardt: 156,000

WHPSI: 55,750 k. by pol.viol., 1970-75

Laos

Wallechinsky, 1959-75: 250,000

Martin Stuart-Fox A History of Laos: 200,000 by 1973, incl. 30,000 Hmong.

Rummel, 1954-75:

War Dead: 32,000

Democide: 38,000

TOTAL: 70,000

Eckhardt: 12,000 civ. + 12,000 mil. = 24,000 (1960-73)

S&S, 1960-73

Laos: 5,000 (1960-62), 15,000 (1963-73)

USA: 500

NVietnam: 3,000

TOTAL: 23,500

WHPSI: 22,355 k. by pol.viol., 1963-72

T. Lomperis, From People's War to People's Rule (1996): 20,000 Meo irregulars and 15,000 Royal Lao Army

Harff & Gurr: 18-20,000 Meo tribemen were victims of genocide, 1963-65

Vietnamese Civil War, final phase, 1973-75

Young, citing Pentagon estimates:

ARVN: 26,500 (1973) + 30,000 (1974)

PRG/DRV: 39,000 (1973) + 61,000 (1974)

Civilians: 15,000

TOTAL: 171,500 killed in the "Cease-Fire War".

Sources:

Britannica: not specified, but the implication is that the statistics cover the entire war.

Clodfelter, Michael, Vietnam in Military Statistics (1995)

Eckhardt: covers the years 1965-75 (unless otherwise noted)

Grenville: does not specify which years are covered, but by context, it seems to be 1960-75

Kutler, Stanley: Encyclopedia of the Vietnam War (1996)

Lewy, Guenter, America in Vietnam (1978): Lewy's estimates cover the years 1965-74. (u.o.n.)

Official VN: On the 20th Anniversary of the war's end, Hanoi announced its official tally of losses for 21 years of war: 1954-75 [3 April 1995 AP; 30 April 1995 Washington Post]

Olson, James: Dictionary of the Vietnam War (1988): covers the years 1965-74 (u.o.n.)

Summers, Harry: Vietnam War Almanac (1985)

Tucker, Spencer, Encyclopedia of the Vietnam War (1998)

Wallechinsky: death tolls apparently cover the years 1957-75. (u.o.n.)

Young, Marilyn, The Vietnam Wars: 1945-1990 (1991)

作者:Anonymous罕见奇谈 发贴, 来自 http://www.hjclub.org
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